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,
01.03.03 –
– 2014
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.
(
)
:
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,
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,
-
:
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« 23 »
002.120.01
196140, .
,
2014 .
2014 . 11
(
(
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,
65
. 30
)
.
:
–
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,
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[6]
1937
.
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(CMEs – coronal mass ejections),
ICMEs;
–
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[7*,12*,16*-18*].
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SSC)
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4.
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(nmdb),
.
,
,
:
(
),
,
,
, 18–
25
2009 .;
European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU 2010), Vienna, Austria,
2–7 May 2010;
31(
),
,
, 5–9
2010 .;
5
22nd European Cosmic Ray Symposium (ECRS 2010), Turku, Finland, 3–6
August, 2010;
32nd International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC 2011), Beijing, China, 11–18
August, 2011;
7th Scientific Conference with international participation (SES 2011) «Space,
Ecology, Safety», Sofia, Bulgaria, 29 November – 1 December, 2011;
7"
",
,
,
, 6–10
2012 .;
IX
«
»,
,
,
, 12–13
2012 .;
«
,
», .
,
,
, 22–26
2012 .;
23rd European Cosmic Ray Symposium (ECRS 2012), MSU, Moscow, Russia,
3–7 July, 2012;
32(
),
,
,
, 3–7
2012 .;
XI Russian-Chinese conference on space weather Irkutsk, Institute of SolarTerrestrial Physics SB RAS, 3–8 September 2012;
,
50»,
,
, 17–18
2012 .;
8th Scientific Conference with international participation (SES 2012) «Space,
Ecology, Safety», Sofia, Bulgaria, 4–6 December, 2012;
33rd International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC 2013), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil,
2-9 July, 2013.
18
18
,
,
14
8
Web of Science.
SCOPUS, 12 –
,
4
,
; 11
3
18.
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155
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59
205
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2012
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Vm H m
V0
B0 –
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H0
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[3*,15*].
334
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.),
ICME (
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CME
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»
CMEs/ICMEs,
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(
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CMEs/ICMEs,
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CMEs/ICMEs
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),
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19,
.
,
250
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(
(
.,
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1956 .)
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., [4,11,12]).
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1956 .
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1957 .
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1/3
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(1954–1964
19.
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(AF >15%).
,
:
,
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,
[2*,10*].
,
CMEs/ICMEs,
19.
,
.
ICMEs,
Bz
,
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19.
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,
ICME,
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(
,
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)
,
19.
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CMEs
.,
., [7]).
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–
(
(
)
(
.,
11
,
., [1,4*,6*,13*,14*]).
)
. 4.
2010/04/03
SOHO: ( )
,
195Å
EIT; ( ) MDI
.
,
.
–
(
(
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)
,
., [8,9,14]).
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.,
,
CMEs.
,
CME [13-15].
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,
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,
,
(
.
. 4).
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,
–
ICMEs
(
.,
., [18]).
,
.
50
(1997–2008
([16,17]),
.),
23-
,
,
CDAW
Dst < –100
,
CMEs
±45º
.
EIT
195 Å [5]
12
MDI
,
SOHO (
. [10]).
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(
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,
(
.
Bz
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. 5),
ICMEs,
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:( )
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(
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(1)
,
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(r
13
0.86).
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,
ICME
).
Bz
,
Dst
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Dst (
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5 .3
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(2)
r
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Bz
.
,
,
–
.
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, :
(SSC); TP
TO
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:
TO ( ) = 98/(1+0.0044 )
(3)
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(4)
(3)
TO
r
0.84.
,
–
TP
,
(4)
r
0.81.
,
,
.
23,
,
,
Dst<–100
)
–
(
.
( )
.
,
,
CMEs/ICMEs,
14
,
,
.
)
(
.
:
I.
(
,
,
,
).
II.
(
– SSC)
(
SSC)
.
,
,
,
.
,
(CMEs/ICMEs),
–
.
III.
.
.
1976-2010
,
,
,
,
.
IV.
19.
,
V.
,
19.
CMEs/ICMEs
23-
,
.
VI.
,
,
CMEs,
1
4
-
.
15
:
1*.
.,
.,
.,
.,
.,
//
.
. – 2012. – . 52. – 3. – . 313–320.
2*.
.,
.,
.,
.,
.
19,
.
. – 2013. – . 77. – 5. – . 599–601.
3*.
.,
.,
.,
.,
.,
.
//
2013. – . 53. – 1. – . 13–22.
4*.
.,
.,
.,
.
//
.,
.
.,
. –
//
.
,
.
. – 2013. – . 77. – 5. – . 615–617.
5*. Abunin A.A., Pletnikov E.V., Shchepetov A.L., Yanke V.G. Efficiency of
detection for neutron detectors with different geometries // Bull. Rus. Acad. Sci.,
Phys. – 2011. – V. 75. – P. 866–868.
6*. Chertok I.M., Grechnev V.V., Belov A.V., Abunin A.A. Magnetic flux of EUV
arcade and dimming regions as a relevant parameter for early diagnostics of
solar eruptions – sources of non-recurrent geomagnetic storms and Forbush
decreases // Solar Phys. – 2013. – V. 282. – P. 175–199.
7*. Papaioannou A., Malandraki O., Belov A., Skoug R., Mavromichalaki H.,
Eroshenko E., Abunin A., Lepri S. On the analysis of the complex Forbush
decreases of January 2005 // Solar Phys. – 2010. – V. 266. – P. 181–193.
:
8*.
9*.
10*.
11*.
12*.
13*.
.
//
10
. – 2010. – . 2. – . 74–81.
Abunin A.A., Abunina M.A., Belov A.V., Eroshenko E.A., Oleneva V.A.,
Yanke V.G. Forbush-effects with sudden and gradual storm commencement //
Proc. 32nd Int. Cosmic Ray Conf., Beijing, 2011. V. 10. P. 278-281.
Abunin A.A., Abunina M.A., Belov A.V., Eroshenko E.A., Oleneva V.A.,
Yanke V.G. Forbush-decreases in 19th solar cycle // J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. – 2013.
– V. 409. – DOI:10.1088/1742-6596/409/1/012165.
Abunina M., Abunin A., Belov A., Eroshenko E., Oleneva V., Yanke V. Long
term variations of the amplitude-phase interrelation of the cosmic ray anisotropy
first harmonic // J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. – 2013. – V. 409. – DOI: 10.1088/17426596/409/1/012163.
Abunina M., Papaioannou A., Gerontidou M., Paschalis P., Abunin A., Gaidash
S., Tsepakina I., Malimbayev A., Belov A., Mavromichalaki H., Kryakunova O.,
Velinov P. Forecasting geomagnetic conditions in near-Earth space // J. Phys.:
Conf. Ser. – 2013. – V. 409. – DOI:10.1088/1742-6596/409/1/012197.
Chertok I.M., Grechnev V.V., Belov A.V., Abunin A.A., Abunina M.A.
16
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Chertok I.M., Abunin A.A., Belov A.V., Grechnev V.V. Dependence of
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